── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fils 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Fils
Matteo Berrettini
76%24%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 25% / 75%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Fils
93th · elite
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Return
Arthur Fils
94th · elite
Matteo Berrettini
35th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#6
model rank
#40
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Fils■ Matteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 7-5 3-6 6-3 |
| 2024-09-25 | Tokyo | Hard | R16 | Arthur Fils | 6-7(5) 0-0 RET |