── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fils 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Fils
Felix Auger Aliassime
59%41%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 37% / 63%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Fils
93th · elite
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Arthur Fils
95th · elite
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#6
model rank
#11
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
CAN
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Fils■ Felix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Arthur Fils | 6-3 7-6(9) |
| 2026-02-02 | Montpellier | Hard | QF | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-05-22 | Lyon | Clay | QF | Arthur Fils | W/O |