── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Arthur Fils 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Arthur Fils
Valentin Vacherot
66%34%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 90% / 10%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Arthur Fils
92th · elite
Valentin Vacherot
86th · strong
Return
Arthur Fils
84th · strong
Valentin Vacherot
56th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#7
model rank
#29
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
MON
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Arthur FilsValentin Vacherot
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR16Arthur Fils6-4 6-7(4) 6-4