── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 88% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Fils
Jannik Sinner
12%88%
Hard: 11% / 89%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 9% / 91%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Fils
93th · elite
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Return
Arthur Fils
95th · elite
Jannik Sinner
99th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#6
model rank
#1
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Fils■ Jannik Sinner
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | SF | Jannik Sinner | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-02-20 | Marseille | Hard | R16 | Arthur Fils | W/O |
| 2023-02-06 | Montpellier | Hard | SF | Jannik Sinner | 7-5 6-2 |