── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fils 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Fils
Brandon Nakashima
66%34%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Fils
93th · elite
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Arthur Fils
95th · elite
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#6
model rank
#18
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Fils■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard0–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Arthur Fils | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-5 7-6(3) |
| 2023-08-21 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-2 |
| 2023-05-22 | Lyon | Clay | SF | Arthur Fils | 7-5 4-6 7-6(5) |