── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fils a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Fils
Lorenzo Musetti
53%47%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 42% / 58%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Fils
92th · elite
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Return
Arthur Fils
84th · strong
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#7
model rank
#12
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Fils■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | QF | Arthur Fils | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Arthur Fils | 3-6 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2024-04-08 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 7-5 |