── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fils 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Fils
Gabriel Diallo
82%18%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Fils
92th · elite
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Return
Arthur Fils
84th · strong
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#7
model rank
#93
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
CAN
185cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Fils■ Gabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Arthur Fils | 6-4 2-3 RET |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Arthur Fils | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Gabriel Diallo | 7-5 6-7(3) 6-4 6-4 |