── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fils a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Fils
Rafael Jodar
55%45%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Fils
92th · elite
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Return
Arthur Fils
84th · strong
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#7
model rank
#6
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
—
FRA
country
ESP
185cm
height
—
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Fils■ Rafael Jodar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | SF | Arthur Fils | 3-6 6-3 6-2 |