── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fils 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Fils
Rafael Jodar
61%39%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 78% / 22%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Fils
93th · elite
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Return
Arthur Fils
95th · elite
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#6
model rank
#7
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
—
FRA
country
ESP
185cm
height
—
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Fils■ Rafael Jodar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–2
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Canada Masters | Hard | QF | Rafael Jodar | 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2026-07-28 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Rafael Jodar | 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | SF | Arthur Fils | 3-6 6-3 6-2 |