── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Juncheng Shang 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Juncheng Shang
Roberto Bautista Agut
58%42%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 41% / 59%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Juncheng Shang
63th · average
Roberto Bautista Agut
34th · below avg
Return
Juncheng Shang
42th · average
Roberto Bautista Agut
72th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#96
model rank
#122
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CHN
country
ESP
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Juncheng ShangRoberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR128Juncheng Shang6-4 6-7(2) 6-4 6-0