── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Juncheng Shang 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Juncheng Shang
Kei Nishikori
57%43%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Juncheng Shang
63th · average
Kei Nishikori
31th · below avg
Return
Juncheng Shang
42th · average
Kei Nishikori
77th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#96
model rank
#119
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CHN
country
JPN
180cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Juncheng ShangKei Nishikori
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard12
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-12-30Hong KongHardSFKei Nishikori4-3 RET
2024-09-18ChengduHardR32Juncheng Shang6-4 6-4
2023-07-24AtlantaHardR16Kei Nishikori6-4 7-6(3)