── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Juncheng Shang 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Juncheng Shang
James Duckworth
56%44%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 69% / 31%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Juncheng Shang
63th · average
James Duckworth
57th · average
Return
Juncheng Shang
42th · average
James Duckworth
11th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#96
model rank
#117
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CHN
country
AUS
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Juncheng ShangJames Duckworth
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR128James Duckworth6-3 7-6(3)
2024-10-28Paris MastersHardQ1Juncheng Shang6-7(2) 7-6(5) 6-4