── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Juncheng Shang
Karen Khachanov
21%79%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 18% / 82%
Grass: 36% / 64%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Juncheng Shang
55th · average
Karen Khachanov
90th · elite
Return
Juncheng Shang
37th · below avg
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#128
model rank
#26
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CHN
country
RUS
180cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Juncheng Shang■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR64Juncheng Shang7-6(3) 6-3