── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Juncheng Shang
Alexander Bublik
27%73%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 30% / 70%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Juncheng Shang
63th · average
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Return
Juncheng Shang
42th · average
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#96
model rank
#24
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CHN
country
KAZ
180cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Juncheng Shang■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | QF | Alexander Bublik | 6-1 7-6(2) |
| 2024-09-18 | Chengdu | Hard | QF | Juncheng Shang | 6-4 7-6(8) |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Juncheng Shang | 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Alexander Bublik | 6-4 6-1 |