── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Juncheng Shang
Alexander Bublik
22%78%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 20% / 80%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Juncheng Shang
55th · average
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Return
Juncheng Shang
37th · below avg
Alexander Bublik
49th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#129
model rank
#28
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CHN
country
KAZ
180cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Juncheng Shang■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | QF | Alexander Bublik | 6-1 7-6(2) |
| 2024-09-18 | Chengdu | Hard | QF | Juncheng Shang | 6-4 7-6(8) |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Juncheng Shang | 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Alexander Bublik | 6-4 6-1 |