── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Sonego 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Juncheng Shang
Lorenzo Sonego
43%57%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Juncheng Shang
55th · average
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Return
Juncheng Shang
37th · below avg
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#129
model rank
#98
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CHN
country
ITA
180cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Juncheng Shang■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | R16 | Juncheng Shang | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-08-19 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R16 | Lorenzo Sonego | W/O |