── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Sonego a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Juncheng Shang
Lorenzo Sonego
49%51%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Juncheng Shang
63th · average
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Return
Juncheng Shang
42th · average
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#96
model rank
#87
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CHN
country
ITA
180cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Juncheng Shang■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | R16 | Juncheng Shang | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-08-19 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R16 | Lorenzo Sonego | W/O |