── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Juncheng Shang
Sebastian Baez
41%59%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Juncheng Shang
55th · average
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Juncheng Shang
37th · below avg
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#128
model rank
#89
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CHN
country
ARG
180cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Juncheng Shang■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Juncheng Shang | 5-7 6-3 7-5 |