── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Adrian Mannarino
74%26%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 17% / 83%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#106
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
FRA
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Bucharest | Clay | R16 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 4-6 6-2 6-2 |