── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Marin Cilic
69%31%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 9% / 91%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Marin Cilic
77th · strong
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Marin Cilic
43th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#83
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
CRO
188cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Marin Cilic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3-6 6-1 6-1 |
| 2025-03-17 | Murcia CH | Clay | R32 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 6-2 6-4 |