── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Marco Trungelliti
75%25%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 61% / 39%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Marco Trungelliti
19th · poor
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#117
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ARG
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Marco Trungelliti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–2
Hard0–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | Q2 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 6-4 1-6 7-6(6) |
| 2025-06-09 | Lyon CH | Clay | F | Marco Trungelliti | 6-3 4-6 6-3 |
| 2025-04-07 | Madrid CH | Clay | R32 | Marco Trungelliti | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2022-10-10 | Gijon | Hard | Q1 | Marco Trungelliti | 6-3 6-4 |