── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Stefano Travaglia
85%15%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 51% / 49%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Stefano Travaglia
16th · poor
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Stefano Travaglia
31th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#175
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ITA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Stefano Travaglia
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Tenerife 1 CH | Hard | SF | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 6-1 3-6 7-5 |