── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Merida Aguilar
Marton Fucsovics
67%33%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 17% / 83%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Marton Fucsovics
53th · average
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Marton Fucsovics
81th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#31
model rank
#75
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
HUN
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Marton Fucsovics
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-30US OpenHardR128Daniel Merida Aguilar6-4 6-4 6-2
2022-05-02Madrid MastersClayQ1Marton Fucsovics6-4 6-3