── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Damir Dzumhur
81%19%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 43% / 57%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Damir Dzumhur
6th · poor
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Damir Dzumhur
73th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#148
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
BIH
188cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Damir Dzumhur
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Umag | Clay | F | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 6-2 5-7 6-2 |