── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Mackenzie Mcdonald
83%17%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Mackenzie Mcdonald
41th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#158
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
USA
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Mackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | Q1 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 7-5 6-4 |