── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Alejandro Tabilo
56%44%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 37% / 63%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#37
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
CHI
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Alejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Davis Cup QLS R2: CHI vs ESP | Clay | RR | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 5-7 6-3 6-3 |