── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Andrea Pellegrino
83%17%
Hard: 96% / 4%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 77% / 23%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Andrea Pellegrino
14th · poor
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Andrea Pellegrino
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#160
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ITA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Andrea Pellegrino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Perugia CH | Clay | SF | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 6-3 5-7 6-3 |
| 2024-03-18 | Murcia CH | Clay | R32 | Andrea Pellegrino | 6-4 6-7(4) 6-3 |