── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Tallon Griekspoor
66%34%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 20% / 80%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Tallon Griekspoor
82th · strong
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Tallon Griekspoor
20th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#70
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
NED
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Tallon Griekspoor
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Canada Masters | Hard | R16 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 6-3 6-1 |