── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Tomas Barrios Vera
79%21%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 26% / 74%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Tomas Barrios Vera
22th · below avg
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Tomas Barrios Vera
42th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#142
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
CHI
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Tomas Barrios Vera
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | Q2 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 6-3 3-6 7-6(4) |