── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Merida Aguilar
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
66%34%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 55% / 45%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
80th · strong
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
35th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#31
model rank
#72
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ARG
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Tomas Martin Etcheverry
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-15UmagClayR16Daniel Merida Aguilar7-5 6-4