── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Corentin Moutet
72%28%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#101
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
FRA
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 6-3 6-4 |