── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Ugo Humbert
57%43%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 14% / 86%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Ugo Humbert
84th · strong
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#43
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
FRA
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Ugo Humbert
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 6-3 6-3 |