── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
78%22%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#132
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ARG
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 4-6 3-6 6-2 3-0 RET |