── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Merida Aguilar
Zizou Bergs
59%41%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 16% / 84%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Zizou Bergs
49th · average
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Zizou Bergs
83th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#31
model rank
#52
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
BEL
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Zizou Bergs
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-17Cincinnati MastersHardR64Daniel Merida Aguilar6-3 6-2