── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Otto Virtanen
75%25%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 15% / 85%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Otto Virtanen
52th · average
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Otto Virtanen
24th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#116
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
FIN
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Otto Virtanen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Bucharest | Clay | R32 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 7-6(4) 5-7 7-5 |