── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Merida Aguilar
Fabian Marozsan
68%32%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 33% / 67%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Fabian Marozsan
63th · average
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Fabian Marozsan
47th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#31
model rank
#79
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
HUN
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Fabian Marozsan
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30BucharestClaySFDaniel Merida Aguilar6-7(4) 6-3 6-1