── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Merida Aguilar
Dalibor Svrcina
71%29%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 64% / 36%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Dalibor Svrcina
2th · poor
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Dalibor Svrcina
97th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#31
model rank
#96
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
CZE
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Dalibor Svrcina
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardQ1Daniel Merida Aguilar6-7(1) 6-4 7-6(6)
2025-08-25Us OpenHardQ1Daniel Merida Aguilar1-6 6-3 7-5