── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Merida Aguilar
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
76%24%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 51% / 49%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
31th · below avg
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
52th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#31
model rank
#120
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ESP
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Pablo Llamas Ruiz
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-01Perugia CHClayQFDaniel Merida Aguilar6-1 6-2