── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Kyrian Jacquet
70%30%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Kyrian Jacquet
40th · average
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Kyrian Jacquet
69th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#88
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
FRA
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Kyrian Jacquet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Estoril | Clay | R32 | Kyrian Jacquet | 1-6 6-1 7-5 |
| 2025-06-09 | Lyon CH | Clay | R32 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-03-13 | M25 Palmanova | Clay | R16 | Kyrian Jacquet | 6-3 7-5 |