── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Titouan Droguet
57%43%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 42% / 58%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Titouan Droguet
50th · average
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Titouan Droguet
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#31
model rank
#41
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
FRA
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Titouan Droguet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–1
Hard1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Umag | Clay | QF | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2026-03-30 | Bucharest | Clay | QF | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 4-6 7-6(7) 3-1 RET |
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | Q2 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 6-4 3-6 6-4 |
| 2025-06-16 | Royan CH | Clay | SF | Titouan Droguet | 7-6(4) 6-2 |