── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Merida Aguilar
Roman Andres Burruchaga
73%27%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 48% / 52%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Roman Andres Burruchaga
13th · poor
Return
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Roman Andres Burruchaga
82th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#31
model rank
#103
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ARG
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Daniel Merida Aguilar■ Roman Andres Burruchaga
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-18UmagClaySFDaniel Merida Aguilar6-4 6-2
2025-06-30Modena CHClayR32Daniel Merida Aguilar6-2 6-4