── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ben Shelton 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Roberto Bautista Agut
89%11%
Hard: 91% / 9%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
99th · elite
Roberto Bautista Agut
37th · below avg
Return
Ben Shelton
60th · average
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#130
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Ben Shelton | 7-6(3) 6-3 |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Ben Shelton | 6-3 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Ben Shelton | 6-2 7-6(2) 7-5 |