── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ben Shelton 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Adrian Mannarino
82%18%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 54% / 46%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Return
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#130
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
USA
country
FRA
193cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–3
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Dallas | Hard | R16 | Ben Shelton | 7-6(2) 6-7(4) 6-3 |
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R32 | Adrian Mannarino | 3-6 6-3 4-6 6-4 RET |
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Ben Shelton | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Adrian Mannarino | 7-6(4) 1-6 6-7(2) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-4 3-6 6-1 |