── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ben Shelton 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Karen Khachanov
59%41%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 48% / 52%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#34
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
RUS
193cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | F | Ben Shelton | 6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Ben Shelton | 6-3 7-5 |