── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ben Shelton 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Reilly Opelka
77%23%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Return
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#100
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
193cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Ben Shelton | 6-7(3) 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2024-09-25 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Ben Shelton | 3-6 6-1 6-4 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Ben Shelton | 7-6(3) 7-6(3) |