── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ben Shelton a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Andrey Rublev
50%50%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Return
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#19
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
RUS
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Andrey Rublev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R16 | Ben Shelton | 7-6(6) 6-3 |
| 2024-10-21 | Basel | Hard | QF | Ben Shelton | 7-5 6-7(3) 6-4 |