── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ben Shelton 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Taylor Fritz
61%40%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
99th · elite
Taylor Fritz
98th · elite
Return
Ben Shelton
60th · average
Taylor Fritz
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#9
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Taylor Fritz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–1
Hard2–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Halle | Grass | QF | Taylor Fritz | 6-7(5) 7-6(8) 7-6(3) |
| 2026-06-14 | Stuttgart | Grass | F | Ben Shelton | 6-4 2-6 6-4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Dallas | Hard | F | Ben Shelton | 3-6 6-3 7-5 |
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | SF | Ben Shelton | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 4-6 6-4 6-3 |