── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ben Shelton 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Hubert Hurkacz
68%32%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 48% / 52%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
99th · elite
Hubert Hurkacz
96th · elite
Return
Ben Shelton
60th · average
Hubert Hurkacz
55th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#23
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
POL
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Hubert Hurkacz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | R64 | Ben Shelton | 6-3 5-7 7-6(3) 7-5 |