── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ben Shelton 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Lorenzo Sonego
75%25%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 59% / 41%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Return
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#87
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
193cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Clay1–1
Hard2–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Ben Shelton | 3-6 6-1 7-6(1) 7-5 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Ben Shelton | 6-4 4-6 3-6 6-2 6-3 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | QF | Ben Shelton | 6-4 7-5 4-6 7-6(4) |
| 2023-05-29 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-4 3-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2022-08-15 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Ben Shelton | 7-6(5) 3-6 7-5 |