── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ben Shelton 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Denis Shapovalov
78%22%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
99th · elite
Denis Shapovalov
60th · average
Return
Ben Shelton
60th · average
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#49
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
USA
country
CAN
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–0
Grass1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | US Open | Hard | R32 | Ben Shelton | 7-6(3) 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Dallas | Hard | SF | Ben Shelton | 4-6 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Ben Shelton | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2024-07-29 | Washington | Hard | QF | Ben Shelton | 7-6(5) 6-6 DEF |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Ben Shelton | 6-7(4) 6-2 6-4 4-6 6-2 |