── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ben Shelton 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Denis Shapovalov
71%29%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 77% / 23%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Return
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#66
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
USA
country
CAN
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Grass1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Dallas | Hard | SF | Ben Shelton | 4-6 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Ben Shelton | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2024-07-29 | Washington | Hard | QF | Ben Shelton | 7-6(5) 6-6 DEF |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Ben Shelton | 6-7(4) 6-2 6-4 4-6 6-2 |