── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Casper Ruud
43%57%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 20% / 80%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Return
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#11
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
NOR
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Casper Ruud
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Clay0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R16 | Ben Shelton | 3-6 6-4 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-02-26 | Acapulco | Hard | QF | Casper Ruud | 6-7(7) 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-04-17 | Barcelona | Clay | R32 | Casper Ruud | 6-2 7-6(1) |
| 2022-08-15 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Ben Shelton | 6-3 6-3 |