── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ben Shelton 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Ben Shelton
Tallon Griekspoor
83%17%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 70% / 30%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Ben Shelton
99th · elite
Tallon Griekspoor
83th · strong
Return
Ben Shelton
60th · average
Tallon Griekspoor
20th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#5
model rank
#70
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
NED
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Ben Shelton■ Tallon Griekspoor
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-31US OpenHardR128Ben Shelton1-6 6-1 7-6(3) 6-2