── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ben Shelton 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
74%26%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 95% / 5%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#82
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Ben Shelton | 6-3 3-1 RET |